Playbook 02

Validate demand (before building)

Sell first, build second. Money is the evidence.

The question this step answers

Before building anything, how do I prove someone wants this and will pay?

First principle

The deadliest assumption is "people want it." Test that assumption before you build. Pre-selling beats surveys — words are cheap, money is evidence. A landing page plus one real ask for money beats months of building in the dark.

Key steps

  1. 1

    State the offer in one sentence

    State what you are selling in one sentence: for whom, what it solves, what result they get. If you cannot say it cleanly, stop here.

  2. 2

    Make the smallest artifact

    Make the smallest thing to test it: a landing page, a DM, a one-pager. Enough to make the value clear — not a product.

  3. 3

    Put it in front of real people

    Put it in front of 10 to 30 real target customers. Real ones — not friends being polite, not a generic blast.

  4. 4

    Ask for a costly signal

    Ask for a costly commitment: a prepayment, a deposit, or a booked call. Only a "yes" that costs something counts.

  5. 5

    Read the signal honestly

    Read the result honestly: count the people who paid, not the people who praised. "That's cool" is not demand; payment is.

Do

  • Pre-sell — trade a commitment for evidence.
  • Ask for money or a real commitment.
  • Talk to 10+ real customers face to face.
  • Kill it fast when there is no signal and save the time.

Don't

  • Build the thing first.
  • Mistake "that's cool" for demand.
  • Run a survey instead of a real sale.
  • Rationalize a weak signal to comfort yourself.

Copy-ready prompts

Pre-sell landing page copy

What I want to pre-sell is [one-sentence offer], and the target customer is [specific customer]. I have not built anything yet.

Write copy for a pre-sell landing page with:
1. A one-line headline that says who it is for and what pain it solves.
2. Three value points, written in the customer's words.
3. One costly call to action (prepay / deposit / booked call), with two wordings.

Keep the tone plain, no hype, no exclamation marks.

Judge the real signal

I put the pre-sell in front of [number] real customers. The feedback was roughly:
[paste what you actually heard here]

Help me:
1. Sort the feedback into three buckets: costly "yes," verbal "yes," clear "no."
2. Judge whether this is a strong or weak signal, with reasons.
3. Tell me plainly: continue, change the offer, or kill it. Do not soften it for me.

Acceptance signals

  • Several people gave a costly yes (prepay, deposit, or commitment).
  • You heard the pain in their own words.
  • You would bet your own money on this.